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Final day: what we need to do
- Thread starter WoodsyGreen
- Start date
And Birmingham beat a very good (albeit distracted) Coventry team 3-0 recently.
The inevitability of this has been overwhelming for weeks, I think we all know deep down what’s going to happen.
The inevitability of this has been overwhelming for weeks, I think we all know deep down what’s going to happen.
To me, that Trump/Clinton pre-election odds stat always serves as a strong reminder of how seldom the bookies get it wrong (though Clinton got 3 million more votes overall) and what an anomaly it was. You could have chosen one of the infinite set of pre-event bookies odds that got it spot on, they outnumber the ones that don't, overwhelmingly. Who knows how it will play out next Saturday, or any Saturday come to that but the likelihood of it playing out in our favour is significant, as the odds would suggest. I take some comfort from that.
Agree completely. There are eight paying in windows and one paying out window for a very good reason!
Exactly! This time last week, the bookies had Huddersfield with an 85% chance of relegation and....guess what?
There are some teams that others just inexplicably struggle against no matter where they are in the table, or general form aside from it. Since 2004/05 they've faced each other 21 times. Birmingham have won twice, they've drawn six, and Norwich have won the other 13. (Including wins in 10 of the last 11).
Birmingham are also favorites to win their match with the early odds, we are not.
What price a Birmingham draw and us to lose 5-1 to go down on goal difference having whittled away the main thing we had to our advantage offer the past 3 months.
What price a Birmingham draw and us to lose 5-1 to go down on goal difference having whittled away the main thing we had to our advantage offer the past 3 months.
If Argyle do stay up, that will mean all 3 promoted teams stayed up. Is that unusual at this level?
I think we need to keep it very tight, at least to start with. As mentioned above we don't want to do anything to significantly impact our better goal difference. If the half time news from St Andrew's is that Brum are leading then obviously we'll then need to go for it.
I'd hate for us to be too open from the start in search of a win, get thumped, Brum draw and we go down on inferior GD.
I'd hate for us to be too open from the start in search of a win, get thumped, Brum draw and we go down on inferior GD.
And top of the away form table for the last four games.
Hope my memory isn't letting me down on this but in 1963/4 we had to equal or better Grimsby's result on the final day to avoid relegation from what was then Division 2. Both clubs were at home and both drew so Argyle stayed up on goal average (as it was then). Same again next week?
