Relegation odds

[Sun Stonehouse]

I think that there is a fair amount of "clutching at straws" on this particular topic. All this analysis blah blah stuff is basically worthless and to be frank, pointless. Saturday afternoon at 2-30 pm will answer all permutations. Accept accordingly.

 

[Nobby]

The major difference between us and Birmingham at the moment is that they are capable of scoring goals.

Birmingham have 7 goals in their last 10 games and have failed to score in 5 of those.

We have 5 goals in our last 10 and have failed to score in 5 of those.

So it’s pretty marginal to be honest. Neither team is capable of consistently scoring goals.

 

[WoodsyGreen]

Birmingham have 7 goals in their last 10 games and have failed to score in 5 of those.

We have 5 goals in our last 10 and have failed to score in 5 of those.

So it’s pretty marginal to be honest. Neither team is capable of consistently scoring goals.

And 3 of those were against a badly out-of-form Coventry side distracted by their FA Cup semi.

 

[Railway sleeper]

Birmingham have 7 goals in their last 10 games and have failed to score in 5 of those.

We have 5 goals in our last 10 and have failed to score in 5 of those.

So it’s pretty marginal to be honest. Neither team is capable of consistently scoring goals.

Interesting stats

Not sure how we got into this mess TBH For me this has been signposted since west brom

Presumably no free- agent strikers/ wingers available ? Or is it: no squad places available, for us to be able to sign them??

 

[Joe Totale]

Interesting stats

Not sure how we got into this mess TBH For me this has been signposted since west brom

Presumably no free- agent strikers/ wingers available ? Or is it: no squad places available, for us to be able to sign them??

The free transfer deadline was the 4th March when Foster was still in charge and apparently happy with his squad...

 

[Nobby]

Interesting stats

Not sure how we got into this mess TBH For me this has been signposted since west brom

Presumably no free- agent strikers/ wingers available ? Or is it: no squad places available, for us to be able to sign them??

More likely a belief that we had sufficient options. I don’t think a single one of us could say that we expected in February that Ryan Hardie and Morgan Whittaker would only score a combined 3 goals in 3 months. If they had managed even slightly below average form we would be fine. Sadly that hasn’t been the case.

 

[CarolinaGreen]

Completely agree with this. Southampton are on a terrible run of form (if I remember correctly), so to play them twice gives Norwich a much greater chance of making a final where anything can happen. Ipswich or Leeds over two legs is a far less attractive proposition.

Winning is also a habit - Norwich wouldn't want to start the play-offs following defeat to Birmingham (imho).

That's a very good point. Let's hope they see it that way.

 

[crownhill pilgrim]

Interesting stats

Not sure how we got into this mess TBH For me this has been signposted since west brom

Presumably no free- agent strikers/ wingers available ? Or is it: no squad places available, for us to be able to sign them??

I would have taken on Sam Cosgrove again. Not Championship quality? Maybe not, but neither are Bundu or Ben Waine.

If appointing Foster didn't work, then getting rid of him didn't work either, and we were always going to drop like a stone accordingly, especially since amazing form by QPR and SW and Blackburn beating Leeds, dragged us into the mire.

 

[oldage]

Birmingham have 7 goals in their last 10 games and have failed to score in 5 of those.

We have 5 goals in our last 10 and have failed to score in 5 of those.

So it’s pretty marginal to be honest. Neither team is capable of consistently scoring goals.

So you are more confident that we will score against Hull than Birmingham will against Norwich?

 

[Manchesterlala]

So you are more confident that we will score against Hull than Birmingham will against Norwich?

Probably more confident that neither of us score. And if that happens, then we stay up, assuming we don't lose 5-0 and Brum don't draw 0-0.

 

[Nobby]

So you are more confident that we will score against Hull than Birmingham will against Norwich?

I don’t watch Birmingham and I suspect you don’t either, so I can only base my confidence on what I see from us and that leaves my confidence very low. That’s why I posted the stats, which show factually, that Birmingham are barely better than us when it comes to goal scoring.

 

[Welwyn Pilgrim]

I’d say Blackburn at 16-1 isn’t a bad outside bet. We win, Brum win and Leicester batter Blackburn especially if they slip up at Preston tonight. They’ll want the title.

 

[Greenscombe]

I’d say Blackburn at 16-1 isn’t a bad outside bet. We win, Brum win and Leicester batter Blackburn especially if they slip up at Preston tonight. They’ll want the title.

Also relies on Sheff Wed getting at least a point but must say I wouldn't rule it out. Us and Brum both know we must win so will play that way accordingly. It isn't beyond the realms of fantasy that we do indeed both win. Then its all on Sheff Wed and Blackburn and I'd rather be in Wednesday's shoes there, than Blackburn.

 

[Lousy Pint]

I wouldn't be at all surprised if Argyle only lose by 1 goal and Birmingham draw.

...and then Huddersfield go and win 16-0 at Ipswich!! It's the way our luck seems to be going

 

[GU7Green]

i have, stuck 30 quid on at 8/1 before Millwall. If we stay up im happy... if we go down then that can fund my night of depression on the beers.

I did this too and i've literally been dripping in shame ever since. I can't believe i did it, not as I want to happen but I simply thought it I "win" then it will cover most of my ST next season. It was as simple as that.

£35 I have at 8/1, which just seemed far too high. I still feel utterly duplicitous. Appreciate someone will - somewhat understandably say - well cancel the bet and the shame will soon go away. Not an unfair point.

I have been thinking for a while now I just think somehow, by width of a toenail, we'll survive maybe thats there in my subconscious when I did it.