I can't believe I'm doing this as a 47 year old who should be working (I can), but I've decided to try and use a stupid method. That method takes into account the form home and away, 6 pointers , if a relegation fighter is playing and gave Argyle a special handicap.
Thought with the games tonight it would be a good test as to whether I bother to update
6 Pointers
___________
Difference in form based on form over 8 matches home/away
6 pointers games are going to be tighter affairs. I've decided that the chance for winning requires a higher difference in form.
Argyle get a -3 Handicap just because
+/- < 5 LOSS
+/- > 4 < 12 DRAW
+/1 > 12 WIN
..................Home Form...........Away Form.....Diff.........Predict.....Points
Scunthorpe........24.... Peterborough.....17.......-7...........DR.......SCUN +1 PETEB+1
Portsmouth........18.... Peterborough.....17.......+1..........AW...... PORT+3
Shrewsbury........3..... Charlton............8.........+5..........DR.......SHREW+1 CHAR+1 WRONG
Portsmouth........14.... Charlton............8.........-6...........DR.......PORT+1 CHAR+1WRONG
Argyle...............1......Rotherham........ 9.........+8(+5)....DR.......ARGYLE+1 ROTHER+1
Scunthorpe........24.... Argyle...............5.........-19(-15)..AW.......ARGYLE+3
Other Matches
____________
Difference in Form
Argyle get a -3 Handicap just because
Teams Fighting Relegation gets a oddly random +8 BONUS
+/- < 6 LOSS
+/- > 5 < 10 DRAW
+/1 > 9 WIN
YES= vs. Relegation fighting team
..............Home Form...........Away Form.....Diff.............Predict.....Points
Bradford........20.......Portsmouth.....6.........+14..............AW.......PORT+3 WRONG
Gillingham.....14.......Rotherham......9.........+5................HW WRONG
Blackburn......3.........Peterborough...17......-14...............HWRIGHT
Northampton..21.......Argyle.............5........-16(-8)YES....DR........ARGYLE+1WRONG
Rotherham.....2.........Bristol Rovers..10......+8................DR........ROTH+1RIGHT
Scunthorpe.....24.......Walsall............18.......-6(-1)YES.....AWWRONG
Shrewsbury....3.........Bury...............23.......+20..............HW........SHREW+3
Rochdale........23.......Argyle.............1.........+18(+7)YES..DR........ARGYLE+1
Blackpool.......5.........Shrewsbury......2........+3................HW
Bury..............19.......Portsmouth.......6........-13...............AW....... PORT+3
Charlton........13 .......Blackburn.........1........-12...............AW
MK Dons........22.......Scunthorpe.......7........-15(-7)YES....DR........SCUN+1
Peterborough.11 ........Fleetwood........12...... +1................DR
Gillingham.....14........Argyle..............5........+9(+6).........DR........ARGYLE+1
Rochdale.......23........Charlton...........8........+15(-10)YES.AW.......CHAR+3
Rotherham....2..........Blackpool.........15...... +13..............HW........ROTH+3
Scunthorpe....24........Bradford..........24...... 0..................HW
Shrewsbury...3..........MK Dons..........21...... +18..............HW....... SHREW+3
Total Points Taken
_______________
Shrewsbury.......4
Rotherham........ 2
Argyle...............6
Portsmouth........10
Scunthorpe........2
Peterborough.....4
Charlton............5
Added to Current/Final
________________________
Shrewsbury.......82+4.......86
Portsmouth........63+10.....73
Rotherham........ 70+2.......72
Argyle...............64+6.......70 (thanks OG)
________________________
Charlton............62+5 .......67
Scunthorpe........64+2.......66
Peterborough.....61+4.......65
Hope that wasn't as ugly as I think it looks.. :scarf:
Thought with the games tonight it would be a good test as to whether I bother to update
6 Pointers
___________
Difference in form based on form over 8 matches home/away
6 pointers games are going to be tighter affairs. I've decided that the chance for winning requires a higher difference in form.
Argyle get a -3 Handicap just because
+/- < 5 LOSS
+/- > 4 < 12 DRAW
+/1 > 12 WIN
..................Home Form...........Away Form.....Diff.........Predict.....Points
Scunthorpe........24.... Peterborough.....17.......-7...........DR.......SCUN +1 PETEB+1
Portsmouth........18.... Peterborough.....17.......+1..........AW...... PORT+3
Shrewsbury........3..... Charlton............8.........+5..........DR.......SHREW+1 CHAR+1 WRONG
Portsmouth........14.... Charlton............8.........-6...........DR.......PORT+1 CHAR+1WRONG
Argyle...............1......Rotherham........ 9.........+8(+5)....DR.......ARGYLE+1 ROTHER+1
Scunthorpe........24.... Argyle...............5.........-19(-15)..AW.......ARGYLE+3
Other Matches
____________
Difference in Form
Argyle get a -3 Handicap just because
Teams Fighting Relegation gets a oddly random +8 BONUS
+/- < 6 LOSS
+/- > 5 < 10 DRAW
+/1 > 9 WIN
YES= vs. Relegation fighting team
..............Home Form...........Away Form.....Diff.............Predict.....Points
Bradford........20.......Portsmouth.....6.........+14..............AW.......PORT+3 WRONG
Gillingham.....14.......Rotherham......9.........+5................HW WRONG
Blackburn......3.........Peterborough...17......-14...............HWRIGHT
Northampton..21.......Argyle.............5........-16(-8)YES....DR........ARGYLE+1WRONG
Rotherham.....2.........Bristol Rovers..10......+8................DR........ROTH+1RIGHT
Scunthorpe.....24.......Walsall............18.......-6(-1)YES.....AWWRONG
Shrewsbury....3.........Bury...............23.......+20..............HW........SHREW+3
Rochdale........23.......Argyle.............1.........+18(+7)YES..DR........ARGYLE+1
Blackpool.......5.........Shrewsbury......2........+3................HW
Bury..............19.......Portsmouth.......6........-13...............AW....... PORT+3
Charlton........13 .......Blackburn.........1........-12...............AW
MK Dons........22.......Scunthorpe.......7........-15(-7)YES....DR........SCUN+1
Peterborough.11 ........Fleetwood........12...... +1................DR
Gillingham.....14........Argyle..............5........+9(+6).........DR........ARGYLE+1
Rochdale.......23........Charlton...........8........+15(-10)YES.AW.......CHAR+3
Rotherham....2..........Blackpool.........15...... +13..............HW........ROTH+3
Scunthorpe....24........Bradford..........24...... 0..................HW
Shrewsbury...3..........MK Dons..........21...... +18..............HW....... SHREW+3
Total Points Taken
_______________
Shrewsbury.......4
Rotherham........ 2
Argyle...............6
Portsmouth........10
Scunthorpe........2
Peterborough.....4
Charlton............5
Added to Current/Final
________________________
Shrewsbury.......82+4.......86
Portsmouth........63+10.....73
Rotherham........ 70+2.......72
Argyle...............64+6.......70 (thanks OG)
________________________
Charlton............62+5 .......67
Scunthorpe........64+2.......66
Peterborough.....61+4.......65
Hope that wasn't as ugly as I think it looks.. :scarf: